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Guest Post: Tanzanian Tobacco Fields

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 05.21.24

Mossy Character writes: Same as it ever was.

Heebie's take: And not in a fun way.

Also the article doesn't let me copy/paste, so I'll just let you click through.



 

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Musing on Loss Aversion

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 05.20.24

I was thinking about loss aversion, and how we categorize it as a bias or a fallacy. After all, you have all these experiments where the expected value in whatever experiment is $100, and yet you get inconsistent behavior from these silly mortals, depending on what amount they start with!

It occurs to me that it's not really a bias or fallacy so much as an artifact of the peculiarity of measuring everything in terms of currency. Not to be too on-the-veldt about it, but for the vast majority of human history, most things are really not fungible.

The biggest example is relationships. Your kid is not fungible with another kid. You don't really want your neighbor's kid anywhere as much as you fear the loss of your own kid. Loss aversion is ridiculously obvious in this context.

But also, take any possession which is complex and managed over time. Take your domicile. As you invest time in it, it gains value, because you fine-tune your ability to manage it and keep it operating smoothly under a range of weather conditions. If you rig some experiment where the expected value is "keep your own domicile intact" but one strategy requires you to risk losing half of it, and the other strategy allows you to gain an extra half-of-a-house, why on earth would those be parallel situations?

In conclusions, labs are unrealistic. Thank you.



 

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...Has Entered The Chat

Posted by Ogged
on 05.17.24

Jewish cabals out here making it hard on Jewish cabals!

A group of billionaires and business titans working to shape U.S. public opinion of the war in Gaza privately pressed New York City's mayor last month to send police to disperse pro-Palestinian protests at Columbia University, according to communications obtained by The Washington Post and people familiar with the group.

...
Asked about the Zoom meeting with chat group members, the mayor's office did not address it directly, instead sharing a statement from deputy mayor Fabien Levy noting that New York police entered Columbia's campus twice in response to "specific written requests" from university leadership. "Any suggestion that other considerations were involved in the decision-making process is completely false," Levy said. He added, "The insinuation that Jewish donors secretly plotted to influence government operations is an all too familiar antisemitic trope that the Washington Post should be ashamed to ask about, let alone normalize in print."

You had to assume that university presidents were getting lots of pressure behind the scenes, given how obviously overboard their responses were. Of course, this has nothing to do with Jewishness; if the Italians were killing the Roma by the tens of thousands, I'm sure a bunch of rich Italians would be Zooming with the mayor to say that it's all justified.

The absurdity of people calling the shots because they sold a lot of coffee or arbitraged some niche in the financial system is tough to take. I'd love to see a hard cap on wealth, which is something that's not going to happen, and also something I've not heard a good argument against.



 

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Bowl Cuts and Career Women

Posted by Heebie-Geebie
on 05.17.24

I found this piece fascinating even though it has the word "gas-lighting" in the title. Basically, in the world of devout Mormons, there's some recent online discourse of women claiming that the church has always supported career-moms, and so this writer is taking us on a deep dive into a propaganda film she watched circa 1991 called "For This Child I Have Prayed". There's even a link to the video, should you wish to watch it yourself!

Basically, it starts off by a high school senior being tempted by the secular world:

A very bright young woman in a lab coat is congratulated by a female teacher who puts her arm lovingly around her and says, "Kelly, I want to congratulate you on your excellent test scores! They were some of the highest I've seen in my thirty years of teaching." The teacher asks if she's heard back on any scholarships, compliments her "tremendous mind" and expresses hope that she will make "immense contributions" to her field of research. Kelly uncomfortably responds by saying, "But I want to have a family", to which her teacher kindly reassures her that it's possible to do both, explaining that most corporations have plans that allow maternity leave for mothers to care for their babies. She again praises Kelly's mind and encourages her to think about all of the people she can influence in the world, not just her own children. Kelly looks torn and concerned.

So Kelly has to go on a journey (an exceedingly interior journey, she doesn't get to go anywhere exciting) to decide if she wants a career or not. There are lots of deliciously 90's screenshots of Kelly with a Demi Moore in Ghost-era haircut.

Eventually she has a heart-to-heart with her mom:

Kelly's mom pulls out a letter from Kelly's older brother after he left on his mission. In it he admits how ungrateful he was for everything she did for him growing up, and how much of her life probably wasn't very exciting. He acknowledges that staying at home and raising kids wasn't easy for her, but thanks her for doing it anyway. He ends the letter by saying that when he finds the right woman to marry, he hopes she's exactly like his mom.

I agree with the author on this:

I am a little stunned by this. In this church-produced film, they admit right out loud that the mother's life often wasn't pleasant...

Yes, the film is pretty clearly acknowledging how much being a perfect SAHM will suck! You could have run this propaganda film very differently, where you promise that it won't suck because parenting will be so exciting and you'll be such an adult. But these guys have decided to go with the message that, "You'll be in charge of the grunt work that's needed to make the world go round!"

Anyway, here's the rest of that paragraph and how it wraps up:

I am a little stunned by this. In this church produced film they admit right out loud that the mother's life often wasn't pleasant, but that message is paradoxically presented against a background of heartwarming music. As a young woman absorbing this message, I was being told that my future as a stay-at-home mom would frequently be unfulfilling, but that I should be happy anyway.
Kelly asks her mom what she should do about her own schooling. Her mom says to keep at it, because her own schooling (the master's degree she abandoned) helped her become a better mom. (I was surprised her mom didn't also mention the hot guys she'd meet in her religion classes at BYU.) Kelly thanks her mom, and they hug. Emotional music plays as Kelly makes the decision to be a stay-at-home mom, not a career woman. It doesn't matter that she's only seventeen and might not meet a cute RM into girls with bowl cuts for another decade or so.


 

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