Re: Place Your Bets

1

This is the first time I've heard McGreevey's name mentioned in the context of the Trump New Jersey/Kaine thing. Most people were talking about Tom Kean.

Since he didn't actually say Tom, and Kean is pronounced like Kaine, and the comment about a "$4 billion tax increase" isn't indicative of Kean, my guess is Trump knew who he was talking about but substituted New Jersey for Virginia out of pure inattention.


Posted by: Minivet | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 3:23 PM
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What would it mean for Trump's words to mean anything at all?

Somebody had to brief Trump, probably for more than 5 minutes. And he seems physically incapable of paying attention.


Posted by: Robert | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 3:39 PM
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2.last: His ghostwriter for The Art Of The Deal says this is true and has been since way back. He's been doing the rounds slagging Trump to anyone who'll listen.


Posted by: togolosh | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 4:11 PM
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a rookie mistake

I dunno, "rookie" seems to imply that there is a more or less normal learning curve for Trump, that he will gain more insight and expertise as he acquires more experience.

Anyway, I think it was a genuine* (rather than a calculated) mistake.

*I don't want to say an "honest" mistake, because nothing about Trump is honest. He lies habitually -- and sometimes, it seems, without any apparent motive or purpose (though, who knows? he may be playing some deep game).


Posted by: Just Plain Jane | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 4:22 PM
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I dunno, "rookie" seems to imply that there is a more or less normal learning curve for Trump, that he will gain more insight and expertise as he acquires more experience.

Right, whereas he actually seems to somehow be going backwards on these things.


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 6:38 PM
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I think the DNC convention did exactly what she needed it to do. I'm much more optimistic now.


Posted by: Barry Freed | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 10:17 PM
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I wasn't paying close enough attention to really have an opinion on that myself, but I sure hope you're right.


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 10:21 PM
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Like I said in the other thread, though, I'm seeing lots of enthusiasm on FB, which is a good sign.


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 10:22 PM
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Seeing stuff like this https://twitter.com/michikokakutani/status/758818754134323200 is heartening but we'll see what the poll show.


Posted by: Barry Freed | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 10:25 PM
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So when does the other major party have its convention? So far it's been the DNC and some radical right fringe group.


Posted by: fake accent | Link to this comment | 07-28-16 11:42 PM
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Right, whereas he actually seems to somehow be going backwards on these things.

The arc of Donald Trump's learning curve is long, but it bends towards ignorance.


Posted by: My Alter Ego | Link to this comment | 07-29-16 6:23 AM
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My wife was surprisingly affected when Clinton stepped up to the stage last night. I thought it was a good speech, though I really wish she had had a mute for her throat clearing.


Posted by: Mooseking | Link to this comment | 07-29-16 8:31 AM
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||
Within hours of his first CIA briefing Trump leaks the presence of a US base in Saudi Arabia. Gotta fucking love this guy.
|>


Posted by: togolosh | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 7:28 AM
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Lock him up!


Posted by: chris y | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 9:24 AM
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13: so to be fair, he might not have been briefed about a base in SA & could have been talking out of his ass.


Posted by: Tom Scudder | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 11:13 AM
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I wonder if the CIA has the authority/has considered using his classified briefings to spread disinformation yet. If he wins the election I doubt he'll remember anything they've told him (nothing in his past suggests that level of attention to not-Donald-Trump, after all, and he's already talked about delegating all that foreign and domestic policy stuff to other people anyway). It seems like the sort of thing that could work, as long as they could figure out a way to dodge any retribution from the Republicans later on (see also: Darryl Issa).


Posted by: MHPH | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 11:19 AM
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You have a touching faith in the ability of the CIA to do anything resembling spycraft.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 11:32 AM
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Hey, I'm not saying they wouldn't screw it up or anything, just that it seems like a really promising opportunity.


Posted by: MHPH | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 11:45 AM
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Can they designate a presidential candidate as not having full security clearance?


Posted by: heebie-geebie | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 12:10 PM
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A good summary of what's actually in these briefings. Nothing very important, apparently.


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 12:24 PM
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Since no one reads links, the basic point from the article in 20 is that the briefings don't contain anything higher than Secret classification (all the really important stuff is Top Secret), and the president can further restrict what they contain. It seems really unlikely that the existence of a secret base in Saudi Arabia wouldn't be considered Top Secret.


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 1:06 PM
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I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Trumpolini made up the existence of a base in Saudi Arabia.


Posted by: togolosh | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 1:44 PM
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I suspect he just doesn't know that the ones we used to have there were shut down.


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 1:55 PM
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Or like most of us he doesn't know the definition of a "base". We certainly have some military people based in Saudi Arabia doing something.


Posted by: Cryptic ned | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 2:12 PM
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And nothing bad could come from reminding everybody about that.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 4:18 PM
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Wouldn't the traditional ratfuck of Trump now be to point out all the times he was a mensch w.r.t. jews or gays or hispanics (e.g. sticking up to nightclubs that wouldn't let his jewish s.i.l. join) then forcing him to deny those actions?


Posted by: Dick | Link to this comment | 07-30-16 10:03 PM
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What you do if you're Hillary is you wait for the next time Trump says something prominent and contrary to fact, and then get in high dudgeon about how he's leaking classified information,or have your surrogates do so. The S. A. thing would do, but it might actually be damaging to the country.


Posted by: foolishmortal | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 4:12 AM
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I want to see some high profile surrogate go with "multi-millionaire Donald Trump is afraid to release his tax returns." Aren't the Clintons worth about $100 million now? Suggest that Trump's at maybe no more than 3 times that.


Posted by: Barry Freed | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 4:19 AM
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She could have an ally in the State Department or CIA denounce Trump for lying about (some recent nonsense claim) and insist that he was just making it up and that he definitely did not hear that in a classified briefing I mean come on that would be insane would we do that anyway it's not true he made it up.


Posted by: MHPH | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 7:46 AM
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It seems to me that:

1. Trump doesn't care about factual accuracy or truth or anything like that, but if he says something his base will believe it, because they want to;
2. Calling him out in the tradition of "At long last have you no decency?" will not work because he hasn't and because his base like him being outrageous because they like to see the enemy being offended;

Therefore, maybe Clinton should try casting him as totally boring. Confronted by some crap he's said she should shrug and say something like, "Yeah, well, y'know!" In the unlikely event of there ever being a debate she should yawn in his face. Mostly ignore him. Concentrate on her own message.


Posted by: chris y | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 8:00 AM
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If Clinton's laugh didn't turn an awful lot of people, especially in the press, off because of sexism how ridiculously obvious sexism it sounds to pathetically transparent misogynists, the dismissive mockery that Biden gave Ryan in the 2012 debate would probably be the ideal approach. "Why would I be offended by a pathetic imbecile like this?" is the sort of message that conveys both that he's indecent and awful but also that he's not even powerful enough for that to be offensive. It's also the exact thing most likely to send Trump and his fan club absolutely screaming mad which would probably hurt him at the debates.


Posted by: MHPH | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 9:08 AM
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If the media don't like her laugh, a wry smile and a shrug might do.


Posted by: chris y | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 9:16 AM
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"There you go again."


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 9:18 AM
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"Why would I be offended by a pathetic imbecile like this?"

Wrong approach: it just lends itself to characterization of Democrats/Hillary Clinton as privileged elitists, think they're better than us, etc. White working class voters probably don't like hearing suggestions that they're stupid.

The better approach would be the "loose cannon" narrative. I recently heard an interview with a guy in Philly who said he'd originally been for Trump, but was thinking Hillary now because she just seems more serious. That's the ticket.


Posted by: parsimon | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 12:05 PM
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The thing about that characterization though is that it's strongly self-reinforcing pretty much no matter what the Democrats do, as long as someone is willing to make the argument.

Refusing to rise to Trump's attempts to provoke a fight or be deeply offended (leaving that to subordinates if necessary which, honestly, it's not even looking like it is) but instead responding with disinterest, or treating him like a potentially dangerous clown is emasculating, which is exactly what Trump can't stand. The more you can bait him with that the more pathetic and less serious he seems to people, and that's the sort of thing that's going to make authoritarians feel uncomfortable. Sure most of them will retreat to us-against-the-world! but there's not much (more) danger there because they're already far enough into it for the most part that it's not going to change any dynamics.


Posted by: MHPH | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 2:03 PM
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I'm pretty sure Trump already had his balls cut off. Or his hands would be bigger.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 2:17 PM
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I dunno, it's hard to imagine his personality developing the way it has without huge amounts of testosterone.


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 2:47 PM
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The real reason he has such affinity for Putin's Russia.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 3:40 PM
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I'm betting he was castrated in a routine dominatrix accident circa 2008.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 4:57 PM
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Moby, displaying a folksy Nebraskan understanding of 'routine'.


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 5:06 PM
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Isn't just my statistical background.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 5:38 PM
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Isn't s/b It's.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 5:39 PM
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"In Pennsylvania, the BDSM industry is composed of two separate but equally important groups: the dominatrices who service clients, and the statisticians who calculate their insurance premiums. These are their stories."


Posted by: Mossy Character | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 5:52 PM
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Heh.


Posted by: Moby Hick | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 5:54 PM
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This is a good piece on one of the things I've found most striking about the Trump campaign: how completely unforced most of their errors are.


Posted by: teofilo | Link to this comment | 07-31-16 11:36 PM
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