The Census Bureau has asked Congress to give it a four month extension on a Dec. 31 deadline to deliver initial census results to the president.Which would push the redistricting safely into the next presidency and congress (Dec 31, lame duck, no session, I know, but these aren't normal times). And I don't see that rural undercounting in general would worsen the country on aggregate.
The urban poor undercounting will be worse.
I mean, lower percentage missed but a larger absolute number of people.
If there was ever an argument for sampling...
University towns are also getting screwed because all the students that would normally be there for the count moved home because of the covid. That's going to have the effect of shifting representation from blue places to red ones.
Which would push the redistricting safely into the next presidency and congress
The president and congress don't handle redistricting, its a state-by-state thing.
2: Will it? A lot of people quarantined at home, a lot of people out of work.
6: Thanks. But this administration never getting its hands on the final results couldn't hurt.
7.1: I'm just assuming based on past history. I agree that a lot of people are quarantined at home, but they mostly are not the urban poor. They are the least likely to get the kind of income support that would let them stay home for this long. And are very likely to start getting evicted in the very near future when the quarantine-related moratorium on evictions ends.
8: Fair. But again 3 months of a blue administration could do something about that.
5. Looks like Census guidance is to still count them at school. Same as if a vacation overlapped 1 April. Plus it looks like many schools answer the census for the entire campus; students don't get involved.
https://www.prb.org/covid-19-and-the-2020-census-where-should-college-students-be-counted/
I never received a census letter which I find disturbing. I called to ask why I never received one back in late May and was told it would arrive soon. I waited a couple weeks and then went on line to fill out the information using the "I have not received a letter" option. It is even more puzzling since a census worker came to the house in January to verify that someone lived there.
If the census worker was Haley Joel Osment, you're dead and really overly impressed by the importance of the census.
10 and 5: I don't remember that for college since they weren't doing one then, but I do remember getting a notice about the census when I was in high school (at a boarding school).